Wednesday, March 24, 2010

House Extrapolated!

Posting some insight on Apartment purchasing power of Pune Techies.
Its however my personal opinion.
Dono if it augers well with others though.Anyways, here it goes:

Assuming 5 times of Gross income is Eligible Loan Amount,
I have created this table which is as follows:
Type.......... AgeGroup.......Workex in Yrs.......AnnualGross.......Max Loan Amount*
Fresher........22/23.................0-1......... 2.0 - 2.5........... 12
Programmer.....23-26................ 1-3..........2.5 - 3.5........... 17
Sr. Programmer.26-27................ 3-4..........3.5 - 4.5........... 22
TL.............27-29................ 4-6......... 4.5 - 6.5........... 32
PL/GL/Asst Mgr 29-30.................6-7......... 6.5 - 8.0........... 40
Project Mgr....30-33.................7-10........ 8.0 - 11............. 55
Sr Mgr/ DM.... 33-36.............. . 10-13........11 - 15.............. 75
Note that
#1. Salaries mentioned above are gross not CTC which is funny and useless number.
32. Salaries above may not be applicable for bluechips like Credit Suisse/JD etc.
Now, for derivations from this table:
A 2bhk at 35L, one has to be close to 30 agegroup to buy or has to have done a Onsite .
If Pune has 1 Lac IT plus Auto Pros ( max 25% of total ) and
50 percent can't afford. in current setup,
20-25 percent have bought 1 home atleast,
20-25 percent probably looking at oppurtunity to buy.
This prospective buyer population will be about 20K-25K max!!
Assuming a 12 storey, 4 flats per floor, a building has at max 50 apartments. For a moderate 5 building society, total number of Professional required would be 250 (50*5) , 1 per family supposedly.
If Pune has 25K Professional (IT plus Auto) looking for flats, then max 100-120 such societies should be enough for 2-3 yrs.
Anything more, there are investors who have bought won't be able to sell off easily.!!!!
Thats my extrapolation.

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